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EuropeNEWS

Cap on Russian oil: What takes place next?

SRI NewsDesk
By SRI NewsDesk Published December 9, 2022
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The cap can be adjusted in response to changes in prices at any time between every two months.

A cost cap on Russian oil concurred by the European Association, G7 and Australia have happened beginning from Monday.

It aims to limit Moscow’s revenue while maintaining Russia’s oil supply to the global market.

Along with the price cap, EU nations adopted on June 3 as part of the sixth package of sanctions an embargo on purchasing Russian seaborne crude. Similar restrictions were introduced earlier this year in Canada and the United States.

On Monday morning, the move and China’s Covid-19 restrictions immediately pushed up oil prices while supply concerns loomed largely.

Infographic: Strategic Research Institute – SRI

What is the cap’s purpose?

The price limit on oil exports from Russia is $60 per barrel. The services that enable the sale of (Russian) oil at prices above the cap, such as insurance that enables maritime transportation, will not be available to businesses based in the nations that implement the ban.

90% of the world’s cargo is insured by the G7 nations of France, Italy, Germany, Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The EU plays a significant role in sea freight.

Without the cap, which will apply to cargoes loaded after December 5, Russia, the world’s second-largest exporter of crude oil, could easily find new customers. On February 5, an additional limit on oil products goes into effect.

However Moscow is trying to make an introduction to elective oil showcases, and the Russian rouble has debilitated to a seven-week low against the dollar.

The cap can be adjusted in response to changes in prices at any time between every two months. It ought to be at least 5% lower than the typical market price. Australia, the G7, and the EU would all need to come to an agreement on the revisions.

Which criticisms has it received?

The price cap has been criticized by the president of Ukraine for being too low.

The Kremlin will continue to receive income even if revenue decreases because the $60 cap is significantly higher than the current cost of oil production in Russia.

Ursula von der Leyen, the head of the European Commission, has insisted that the cap will help “stabilize global energy prices, benefiting emerging economies around the world” because they will be able to acquire Russian crude at a lower price.

The cap is open to all nations, and those nations that do not apply it can continue to purchase Russian oil above the cap without using Western companies to acquire, transport, or insure it.

Western leaders must choose between attempting to reduce Russia’s oil income and preventing an oil shortage that would increase prices and exacerbate global inflation.

 
 
 
 
 
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How did Russia respond?

At a press conference on Monday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia will not recognize “any ceilings” and referred to the West’s decision to impose the cap as “a step towards destabilizing the world energy market.”

Russia said on Sunday that it was thinking about banning oil supplies that were subject to the price cap and that it would not operate under it, even if it meant cutting production.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak stated, “We are working on mechanisms to prohibit the use of a price cap instrument, regardless of what level is set, because such interference could further destabilize the market.”

A further rise in global energy costs could result from Russia’s refusal to sell oil to nations that adhere to the measures.

What responses have other oil producers given?

On Sunday, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and a few other nations came to an agreement to keep their goal of reducing oil production by 2 million barrels per day (bpd) until the end of the next year. That cut had been agreed upon in October, resulting in a disagreement with the US administration ahead of the midterm elections in November.

Some analysts had predicted that OPEC, which is led by Russia and Saudi Arabia, would cut production, even more, this week to keep prices at around $90 a barrel.

On Monday, Brent North Sea crude for main contracts rose 2.6% to $87.83 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate rose 2.8% to $82.22 per barrel.

What plans do India and China have?

The future of Russia’s oil exports is in the hands of Asian oil buyers like India and China.

According to Russia’s RIA news agency, a statement issued by the Chinese foreign ministry on Monday stated that Beijing will continue its energy cooperation with Russia based on “respect and mutual benefit.”

This year, China has increased its purchases of Russia’s Urals oil blends, which are now significantly cheaper than Brent, the global standard.

Reuters quotes an official from India’s petroleum ministry as saying that India has also demonstrated its willingness to continue purchasing Russian oil and gas.

Report originally published on TRT World

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